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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 1h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@retep5

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 2d ago17 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 44s agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 1 resolved call

No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
17
N = 17 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
0%
95% CI 0–79% · N = 1

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
—
N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
100%
N = 1

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-29.0%
N = 1

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 1

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
—
N = 1

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
1
resolved · 16 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 1 · Positive after 24h 0% (95% CI 0–79%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
-8.7%
Trimmed mean
-8.7%
10% each side
Mean
-8.7%
Range
-8.7% … -8.7%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram1 samples in 1 bins from -8.7% to -8.7%.median-8.7%-8.7%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian -8.7%, interquartile range -8.7% to -8.7%, whiskers -8.7% to -8.7%, 0 outliers (min -8.7%, max -8.7%).-8.7%-8.7%
p5
-8.7%
p10
-8.7%
p25
-8.7%
p50
-8.7%
p75
-8.7%
p90
-8.7%
p95
-8.7%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $BREWhttps://x.com/brewdotfamily/status/2108714429110161604?s=46 👀
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -13.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWBrewers brew jeets jeet we will win
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -16.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWBnbrew
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -15.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWWtf
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -15.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWWakey Wakey brew giant is ready
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -16.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWLooks like cz the first true runner staying healthy 5m loading there
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -14.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWGood work fellas but high sell low just like the teach you 🫡
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -13.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWMatter of time
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -11.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWRemember cz owns 1% of brews supply
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -12.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWThink about the people who top blasted pons at 40m to sell the bottom of 10m
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -9.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWWonder why Alex joined today on fomo something brewing?
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -10.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWTeam is so dialed bro and we are finally getting runners holding up aswell not just falling after a day 100m is inevitable even without whales bagworking nearly as much as they have in the past and the market being so red we are holding so good
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -9.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWHolding up crazy good for a bloody ass market
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -13.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWViolent repricing soon
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -9.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWAlex my goat
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -8.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREWHoly
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -2.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BREW22h since last gstock thesis you guys are welcome to come on in
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    -8.7%
    Max return
    +7.0%
    Drawdown
    -29.0%
    Lead time
    no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.