@retardedpeecan
First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 13h ago8 theses on 1 token in 7d
Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.
Research score
0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based
Based on 2 resolved calls
No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.
Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.
research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026
Research score history
Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient
No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).
Author metrics
Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.
Theses posted up to the snapshot.
Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.
Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.
No major move and a negative 3-day return.
Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.
Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.
Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.
Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call
N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)
- Median
- +26.0%
- CI +14.8% … +37.2%
- Trimmed mean
- +26.0%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- +26.0%
- σ 15.8%
- Range
- +14.8% … +37.2%
- p5
- +15.9%
- p10
- +17.0%
- p25
- +20.4%
- p50
- +26.0%
- p75
- +31.6%
- p90
- +34.9%
- p95
- +36.1%
Sector specialization
Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative
No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.
Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2), Tokenized Stocks (2), AI Agents (1)
Recent calls
Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.
- $SIhttps://x.com/coinasiacn/status/2109147741611774113?s=46 Listed in Asia
- Posted
- 13h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SIWho just bought?
- Posted
- 22h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SIThis guy is about to by 500k worth
- Posted
- 23h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SIX account is now updated in about info for super inu
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +22.9%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SIJoin my clan we are the reeatarded nuuts pecan walnut, and peanut are all taken must create image just like the ones we have and your banner must be a zoom in of the crutch
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +11.7%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SISend it
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -3.5%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SIThis is the final week that ai holders have to jump ship into si
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- +14.8%
- Max return
- +49.3%
- Drawdown
- -5.4%
- Lead time
- 4.7h
- $SISuper healthy Bitcoin pullback before bitcoin rockets back up
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- +37.2%
- Max return
- +75.6%
- Drawdown
- 0.0%
- Lead time
- 41m
Cohorts
Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.
Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.