User quant profile

@realred

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 12h ago16 theses on 4 tokens in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100

Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 1 resolved call

No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses

N = 16 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate

95% CI 0–79% · N = 1

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time

—

N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate

100%

N = 1

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call

-84.7%

N = 1

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency

—

N = 1

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility

—

N = 1

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size

resolved · 15 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 1 · Positive after 24h 0% (95% CI 0–79%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal

Median: -23.0%
Trimmed mean: -23.0%; 10% each side
Mean: -23.0%
Range: -23.0% … -23.0%

p5: -23.0%
p10: -23.0%
p25: -23.0%
p50: -23.0%
p75: -23.0%
p90: -23.0%
p95: -23.0%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

Token	Posted	Status	24h	Max return	Drawdown	Lead time
$PAREChapter 2 is live. $38k added to liquidity from treasury https://x.com/parestocks/status/2109116767503266217	12h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$BORROYou know you’re doing something right when the only fud another dev has on your project is it’s “too perfect” 😎	22h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$BORROI wouldn’t fumble this one, anon	1d ago	Pending	-49.6%	—	—	—
$PLAYfuture top 3 RWA project in crypto. do your dd over the weekend or face the consequences	1d ago	Pending	-79.7%	—	—	—
$PLAYSub $5 is a gift… enjoy the low volume before dex is updated and word spreads	1d ago	Pending	-75.6%	—	—	—
$PLAYin addition to claw machines, there are additional assets profiled on PLAY’s website (other ways to benefit just by holding 👀): explore.dualmint.com ➡️A/C Systems ➡️EV Chargers ➡️Laundromats ➡️Robofarms ➡️Recycling stations ➡️ATMs https://x.com/redemptionarcc/status/2108708978796777945	2d ago	Pending	-78.9%	—	—	—
$PLAY$10m coded… $100m potential… do some research, anon. There are only 247,500 PLAY tokens…	2d ago	Pending	-73.7%	—	—	—
$PLAYcash-flowing machines and robotic fleets, financed 👀 machine financing is a $1.3T market in the US alone and almost none of it is onchain Claw machines are the proof of concept… watch this: https://x.com/dualmintrwa/status/2108550478682546475	2d ago	Pending	-81.8%	—	—	—
$PLAYhere is why PLAY is my first size play: “Co-Founder is ex-Oracle, and project's goal is to provide 15-20% APY which is at least 4x higher than anything you can get in anywhere. This is the first ever correct RWA usage that benefits holders of a coin, ever. Probably one of the most insane things we've seen on any blockchain. They have 200+ claw machines in malls, and more things to add like coin laundromats, vending machines etc, and they provide yield to you with the income from those. This is a real RWA project that's really useful. It's audited and it's real, not some random Pump project, they've been working for a VERY LONG TIME and launched their token just now.”	2d ago	Pending	-76.0%	—	—	—
$PLAYquants say $10m is coded. read the intelligent theses below mine.	2d ago	Pending	-79.1%	—	—	—
$ZEVIOInfrastructure upgrade happening now to prepare for scaling usage and what’s next https://x.com/zeviodotsh/status/2108459425585328586	2d ago	Pending	-79.1%	—	—	—
$ZEVIObrick by brick https://x.com/zeviodotsh/status/2108329088754545082	3d ago	Pending	-73.6%	—	—	—
$ZEVIOmainnet monster in the making but u wldnt blv it	3d ago	Pending	-56.3%	—	—	—
$ZEVIOvitalik wants to pay for inference privately… this is literally the solution	3d ago	Pending	-23.4%	—	—	—
$ZEVIOif someone goes through the trouble of running a honeypot clone to 8-figs to get the ticker listed on X first, you’re probably doing something right	3d ago	Pending	-18.5%	—	—	—
$ZEVIOentire roadmap shipped and next phase cooking… dev also DM’d me I am in touch now going to work with dev to get my earned credits routed to DREGG dev to support its development… maybe get decentralized grants feature going or enable holders to support other builders with their credits. Lets see https://x.com/zeviodotsh/status/2108154721416675534	3d ago	Resolved	-23.0%	+10.1%	-84.7%	no +25% move

$PAREChapter 2 is live. $38k added to liquidity from treasury https://x.com/parestocks/status/2109116767503266217
Posted
12h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$BORROYou know you’re doing something right when the only fud another dev has on your project is it’s “too perfect” 😎
Posted
22h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$BORROI wouldn’t fumble this one, anon
Posted
1d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-49.6%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$PLAYfuture top 3 RWA project in crypto. do your dd over the weekend or face the consequences
Posted
1d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-79.7%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$PLAYSub $5 is a gift… enjoy the low volume before dex is updated and word spreads
Posted
1d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-75.6%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$PLAYin addition to claw machines, there are additional assets profiled on PLAY’s website (other ways to benefit just by holding 👀): explore.dualmint.com ➡️A/C Systems ➡️EV Chargers ➡️Laundromats ➡️Robofarms ➡️Recycling stations ➡️ATMs https://x.com/redemptionarcc/status/2108708978796777945
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-78.9%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$PLAY$10m coded… $100m potential… do some research, anon. There are only 247,500 PLAY tokens…
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-73.7%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$PLAYcash-flowing machines and robotic fleets, financed 👀 machine financing is a $1.3T market in the US alone and almost none of it is onchain Claw machines are the proof of concept… watch this: https://x.com/dualmintrwa/status/2108550478682546475
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-81.8%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$PLAYhere is why PLAY is my first size play: “Co-Founder is ex-Oracle, and project's goal is to provide 15-20% APY which is at least 4x higher than anything you can get in anywhere. This is the first ever correct RWA usage that benefits holders of a coin, ever. Probably one of the most insane things we've seen on any blockchain. They have 200+ claw machines in malls, and more things to add like coin laundromats, vending machines etc, and they provide yield to you with the income from those. This is a real RWA project that's really useful. It's audited and it's real, not some random Pump project, they've been working for a VERY LONG TIME and launched their token just now.”
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-76.0%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$PLAYquants say $10m is coded. read the intelligent theses below mine.
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-79.1%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$ZEVIOInfrastructure upgrade happening now to prepare for scaling usage and what’s next https://x.com/zeviodotsh/status/2108459425585328586
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-79.1%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$ZEVIObrick by brick https://x.com/zeviodotsh/status/2108329088754545082
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-73.6%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$ZEVIOmainnet monster in the making but u wldnt blv it
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-56.3%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$ZEVIOvitalik wants to pay for inference privately… this is literally the solution
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-23.4%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$ZEVIOif someone goes through the trouble of running a honeypot clone to 8-figs to get the ticker listed on X first, you’re probably doing something right
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-18.5%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$ZEVIOentire roadmap shipped and next phase cooking… dev also DM’d me I am in touch now going to work with dev to get my earned credits routed to DREGG dev to support its development… maybe get decentralized grants feature going or enable holders to support other builders with their credits. Lets see https://x.com/zeviodotsh/status/2108154721416675534
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
-23.0%
Max return
+10.1%
Drawdown
-84.7%
Lead time
no +25% move

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