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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 3h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 3h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@punkoogy

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 3d ago2 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 52s agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls; this account has posted 2 theses so far.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved.

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
2
N = 2 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
50%
95% CI 9–91% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
26.9h
N = 1 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
50%
N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-44.5%
N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 13.1%
N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
2
resolved · 0 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 0% (95% CI 0–66%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
-14.3%
CI -23.5% … -5.0%
Trimmed mean
-14.3%
10% each side
Mean
-14.3%
σ 13.1%
Range
-23.5% … -5.0%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram2 samples in 3 bins from -23.5% to -5.0%.median-23.5%-5.0%-20%-15%-10%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian -14.3%, interquartile range -18.9% to -9.7%, whiskers -23.5% to -5.0%, 0 outliers (min -23.5%, max -5.0%).-23.5%-5.0%-14.3%
p5
-22.6%
p10
-21.7%
p25
-18.9%
p50
-14.3%
p75
-9.7%
p90
-6.9%
p95
-6.0%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $CLAUSBuying more. The true projects shine through in times likes these.
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    -5.0%
    Max return
    +27.9%
    Drawdown
    -36.3%
    Lead time
    26.9h
  • $CLAUSDid you know that one project could start an entirely new Bull run? Food for thought.
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    -23.5%
    Max return
    0.0%
    Drawdown
    -52.8%
    Lead time
    no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.