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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 1h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@pglpiguet

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 15h ago15 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 59s agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
15
N = 15 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
0%
95% CI 0–66% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
—
N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-3.1%
N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 2.6%
N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
2
resolved · 13 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+14.8%
CI +13.0% … +16.6%
Trimmed mean
+14.8%
10% each side
Mean
+14.8%
σ 2.6%
Range
+13.0% … +16.6%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram2 samples in 3 bins from +13.0% to +16.6%.median+13.0%+16.6%+14%+15%+16%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +14.8%, interquartile range +13.9% to +15.7%, whiskers +13.0% to +16.6%, 0 outliers (min +13.0%, max +16.6%).+13.0%+16.6%+14.8%
p5
+13.2%
p10
+13.4%
p25
+13.9%
p50
+14.8%
p75
+15.7%
p90
+16.3%
p95
+16.4%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $CATEI thought holding till billions was supposed to be difficult? HIGHERRRRR
    Posted
    15h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATE“Waiting is the price you pay for being early”
    Posted
    22h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEBalls tingling so much it’s hurting
    Posted
    23h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEhttps://x.com/usronaldcarter/status/2108862860772376831?s=46 Learn something anon
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -4.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEShrek boutta wake up
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    0.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATECATE might actually double this weekend 🫣
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -0.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEHigher lows. We’re looking bullish 👀
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -3.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATE5 cents to a dollar
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +0.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEWhat’s the concern?
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -7.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEFirst 1 billion. Then 2 billion. Quickly to 3 billion. & shortly after that we flip DOGE. “Few”
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -8.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATESo all it took was Mert to say stop being a bitch huh BILLIONS CODED FOR MY CATE
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -1.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEConviction pays
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +6.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEStudy how CATE follows the majors 🫪
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +9.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATESell so I don’t have to shake your hand at the top, puccie
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +16.6%
    Max return
    +22.1%
    Drawdown
    -1.3%
    Lead time
    no +25% move
  • $CATENgl yall acting like hoes fr 😭 Higher for my dearest $CATE
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +13.0%
    Max return
    +17.4%
    Drawdown
    -5.0%
    Lead time
    no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.