User quant profile

@oAlleinn

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 2h ago19 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100

Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses

N = 18 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate

95% CI 0–66% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time

—

N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate

N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call

-6.0%

N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency

—

N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility

σ 6.2%

N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size

resolved · 17 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal

Median: +11.6%; CI +7.2% … +16.0%
Trimmed mean: +11.6%; 10% each side
Mean: +11.6%; σ 6.2%
Range: +7.2% … +16.0%

p5: +7.6%
p10: +8.1%
p25: +9.4%
p50: +11.6%
p75: +13.8%
p90: +15.1%
p95: +15.6%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

Token	Posted	Status	24h	Max return	Drawdown	Lead time
$CATEAny other coin would’ve plummeted	2h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$CATELoading up for today you boys better get it while you can	3h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$CATEMind you this lame Halloween guy is in SI crying that they need to be better then CATE lol lame bot	14h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$CATESaw the video now I want in whoever can do the longest thesis expressing there love for CATE $20 STARTING NOW	15h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$CATEZoom out a lil	1d ago	Pending	-6.6%	—	—	—
$CATESlowly then all at once	2d ago	Pending	-0.4%	—	—	—
$CATEAlmost about to hit 100 followers LOVE CATE	2d ago	Pending	-2.9%	—	—	—
$CATEWho said cate is disappointing f you sell ill buy your coins	2d ago	Pending	-7.9%	—	—	—
$CATEIf you put in 50k I’ll put 100	2d ago	Pending	-5.0%	—	—	—
$CATE#1 coin on fomo next stop #1 coin in American then the WORLD	2d ago	Pending	-8.2%	—	—	—
$CATEMorning CATE FAM	2d ago	Pending	-5.6%	—	—	—
$CATECate going to the moon	2d ago	Pending	-1.1%	—	—	—
$CATETop blasting this one	3d ago	Pending	+7.8%	—	—	—
$CATEBro said he wanted a dip to buy THIS IS THE DIP	3d ago	Pending	+9.6%	—	—	—
$CATETightest green squeeze starts NOW	3d ago	Pending	+6.9%	—	—	—
$CATENo matter the amount of red days still 140k holders strong if you really think this a scam sell and be sidelined someone will definitely buy your coin	3d ago	Pending	+15.3%	—	—	—
$CATEThat deep shake out and we held like we do	3d ago	Pending	+11.1%	—	—	—
$CATEWe are huge enough to have our own hating bots, don’t let yourself be sidelined you’ll gain a lot more then what you would lose	3d ago	Resolved	+16.0%	+18.5%	-4.2%	no +25% move
$CATEYou can see all the fake rats coming out the woodworks to say how bad it is don’t let it fool you just regular red days like any other	3d ago	Resolved	+7.2%	+14.0%	-7.8%	no +25% move

$CATEAny other coin would’ve plummeted
Posted
2h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATELoading up for today you boys better get it while you can
Posted
3h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEMind you this lame Halloween guy is in SI crying that they need to be better then CATE lol lame bot
Posted
14h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATESaw the video now I want in whoever can do the longest thesis expressing there love for CATE $20 STARTING NOW
Posted
15h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEZoom out a lil
Posted
1d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-6.6%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATESlowly then all at once
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-0.4%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEAlmost about to hit 100 followers LOVE CATE
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-2.9%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEWho said cate is disappointing f you sell ill buy your coins
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-7.9%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEIf you put in 50k I’ll put 100
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-5.0%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATE#1 coin on fomo next stop #1 coin in American then the WORLD
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-8.2%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEMorning CATE FAM
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-5.6%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATECate going to the moon
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-1.1%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATETop blasting this one
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+7.8%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEBro said he wanted a dip to buy THIS IS THE DIP
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+9.6%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATETightest green squeeze starts NOW
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+6.9%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATENo matter the amount of red days still 140k holders strong if you really think this a scam sell and be sidelined someone will definitely buy your coin
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+15.3%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEThat deep shake out and we held like we do
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+11.1%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEWe are huge enough to have our own hating bots, don’t let yourself be sidelined you’ll gain a lot more then what you would lose
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+16.0%
Max return
+18.5%
Drawdown
-4.2%
Lead time
no +25% move
$CATEYou can see all the fake rats coming out the woodworks to say how bad it is don’t let it fool you just regular red days like any other
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+7.2%
Max return
+14.0%
Drawdown
-7.8%
Lead time
no +25% move

Cohorts

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