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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 1h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@nastycashy

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 2h ago16 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
16
N = 16 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
0%
95% CI 0–66% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
—
N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-4.5%
N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 2.0%
N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
2
resolved · 14 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+13.3%
CI +11.8% … +14.7%
Trimmed mean
+13.3%
10% each side
Mean
+13.3%
σ 2.0%
Range
+11.8% … +14.7%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram2 samples in 3 bins from +11.8% to +14.7%.median+11.8%+14.7%+13%+14%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +13.3%, interquartile range +12.6% to +14.0%, whiskers +11.8% to +14.7%, 0 outliers (min +11.8%, max +14.7%).+11.8%+14.7%+13.3%
p5
+12.0%
p10
+12.1%
p25
+12.6%
p50
+13.3%
p75
+14.0%
p90
+14.4%
p95
+14.5%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $CATECATE COIN BOUTA MAKE A NASTY MOVE
    Posted
    2h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEEVERYONE RAID FOMO TALKING AVOUT US https://x.com/fomo/status/2108943692790895061?s=46
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -6.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEWhat are we even complaining about? To those who have been here since the last few drawbacks knows this is nothing. We have seen so much worse, and cate is so well structured and is so inevitable to fly way past ATH!
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -3.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEYall sellers are so pathetic
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +0.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEEAT THE DIP
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -4.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEWhat if we go higher?
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -9.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEEveryone join the spaces https://x.com/wifirug/status/2108574419669176341?s=46
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -5.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEWHAT DID I JUST WAKE UP TO I LOVE YOU ALL
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -8.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEHIGHER ASIA HIGHER
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +2.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEDid Kai really buy???
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +11.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATETJR BUY MORE AND LOWER YOUR AVG POSITION
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +6.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEhttps://x.com/debackereowen/status/2108251890110824949?s=46
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +4.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATECATE COIN THIS CATE COIN THAT
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +6.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEExactly where I want to be
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +18.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEThey don’t want us to win
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +11.8%
    Max return
    +17.8%
    Drawdown
    -4.7%
    Lead time
    no +25% move
  • $CATEHOLY DIP BUY NOW
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +14.7%
    Max return
    +18.3%
    Drawdown
    -4.3%
    Lead time
    no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.