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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 2h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@lucacapital

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 12h ago6 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 0 resolved calls

No score is shown: No resolved calls yet — this account's first call resolves on 11 Oct, 72 h after its first thesis (8 Oct). A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~13 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 0 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~13 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

No author metrics yet

No resolved calls yet — this account's first call resolves on 11 Oct, 72 h after its first thesis (8 Oct). A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~13 Oct. Metrics appear with the first metrics run after that.

Outcome distribution

Return 24h after each call

No resolved calls with market data yet.

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $HAMSTERleaving my thesis pinned for newcomers: https://x.com/lucaequity/status/2107338301170487618?s=46
    Posted
    12h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $HAMSTERSellers: https://x.com/lucaequity/status/2108990346260877818?s=46
    Posted
    21h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $HAMSTERstrength is a good indicator: https://x.com/lucaequity/status/2107997477316239767?s=46
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -64.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $HAMSTERHere’s why I believe HAMSTER will be the turning point for memecoins https://x.com/lucaequity/status/2107338301170487618?s=46
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -40.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $HAMSTERno exchange listings? https://x.com/lucaequity/status/2108591040525455770?s=46
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -32.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $HAMSTERescape velocity: https://x.com/lucaequity/status/2108264445298479150?s=46
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -3.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.