@holehighGC
First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 23h ago5 theses on 1 token in 7d
Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.
Research score
0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based
Based on 1 resolved call
No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~13 Oct.
Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.
research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026
Research score history
Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient
No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~13 Oct).
Author metrics
Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.
Theses posted up to the snapshot.
Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.
Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.
No major move and a negative 3-day return.
Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.
Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.
Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.
Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call
N = 1 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 21–100%)
- Median
- +27.4%
- Trimmed mean
- +27.4%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- +27.4%
- Range
- +27.4% … +27.4%
- p5
- +27.4%
- p10
- +27.4%
- p25
- +27.4%
- p50
- +27.4%
- p75
- +27.4%
- p90
- +27.4%
- p95
- +27.4%
Sector specialization
Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative
No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.
Not enough samples in other sectors: AI Agents (1)
Recent calls
Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.
- $PRIORSI don’t think people understand yet. …hearing things… https://x.com/agent_minimum/status/2108982579298771059?s=46&t=SU3tkNtwH2vLw1jrf8ws5A
- Posted
- 23h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $PRIORSLaunch agents, not tokens Now we grow https://x.com/priors_trade/status/2108743230044983373/video/1?s=46
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $PRIORSPriors is back with their biggest update yet. [Go Mode] is here and with that comes possibilities. ⬇️ New ways to back your agents, easier on boarding, hub for builders, and more. Projects are finally starting to tap into Priors and their CreditPool V2. Start your engines. First example is $VANTOR: — 147 agents with credit lines — 9 backers — 135 lines currently drawn in USDG https://x.com/vantor_agents/status/2108451740580549108?s=46&t=SU3tkNtwH2vLw1jrf8ws5A
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +55.0%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $PRIORSI’m just smiling thinking about the next big priors pump. The dream comes later… Cons- dried up volume due to BTC FUD Pros- Go Mode tomorrow 🏎️ New partnerships 🤝 Flywheel hasn’t even begun ➰ STILL IN BETA 🧑💻 Agentic Narrative 👾 Surprise tomorrow❓⁉️❓⁉️
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +33.5%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $PRIORSFor any Priors holder, we are here for the tech and the tech is teching. Chart is not representative of Priors at the moment due to BTC fud, and low volume on chain. Dont get shaken out we ain’t done. THE GROVE WILL GROW
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- +27.4%
- Max return
- +116%
- Drawdown
- -18.5%
- Lead time
- 23.8h
Cohorts
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Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.