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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 2h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@gudblondie

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 15h ago7 theses on 4 tokens in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 51s agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 1 resolved call

No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~13 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~13 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
7
N = 7 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
0%
95% CI 0–79% · N = 1

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
—
N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
100%
N = 1

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-14.4%
N = 1

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 1

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
—
N = 1

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
1
resolved · 6 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 1 · Positive after 24h 0% (95% CI 0–79%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
-4.3%
Trimmed mean
-4.3%
10% each side
Mean
-4.3%
Range
-4.3% … -4.3%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram1 samples in 1 bins from -4.3% to -4.3%.median-4.3%-4.3%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian -4.3%, interquartile range -4.3% to -4.3%, whiskers -4.3% to -4.3%, 0 outliers (min -4.3%, max -4.3%).-4.3%-4.3%
p5
-4.3%
p10
-4.3%
p25
-4.3%
p50
-4.3%
p75
-4.3%
p90
-4.3%
p95
-4.3%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: DeFi (1)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $ANSEMANSEM will retire me https://x.com/gudblondie/status/2109080137002283353?s=46
    Posted
    15h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIGood press https://x.com/fomo_xbt/status/2108975376961519704?s=46
    Posted
    22h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $FLORKFLORK looking good here really good.
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -13.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $STONKSome of these jeets have way too much supply I’m trimming until they done jeeting
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +0.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $FLORKhttps://x.com/cryptorubber/status/2108545016490840215?s=46 👀
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -5.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $FLORKHUGE $FLORK ANNOUNCEMENT!!! $FLORK holders on binance ALPHA have officiially received there first payments and apparently it’s in $BTC this is not only a major development it is making history for Bitcoin BNBCHAIN CZ and Flork_memes official we assume and update will be made by Binance or BinanceWallet in due time For now stack your $FLORK join the community and get ready to make history. Now over 21% of $FLORK holders are on Binance ALPHA 2.0 and expecting this figure to grow fast as customers become aware of the fix. Once again thanks to everyone at binance and FLAP for jumping on this resolution! https://x.com/gudblondie/status/2108526244992106872?s=46
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +5.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $STONKhttps://x.com/gudblondie/status/2108183318361407840?s=46
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    -4.3%
    Max return
    +4.5%
    Drawdown
    -14.4%
    Lead time
    no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.