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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 2h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 2h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@goosemanjones1

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 2d ago4 theses on 2 tokens in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 57s agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls; this account has posted 4 theses so far.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved.

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
4
N = 4 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
0%
95% CI 0–66% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
—
N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
50%
N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-16.4%
N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 1.2%
N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
2
resolved · 2 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 0% (95% CI 0–66%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
-6.3%
CI -7.2% … -5.4%
Trimmed mean
-6.3%
10% each side
Mean
-6.3%
σ 1.2%
Range
-7.2% … -5.4%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram2 samples in 3 bins from -7.2% to -5.4%.median-7.2%-5.4%-7%-6.5%-6%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian -6.3%, interquartile range -6.8% to -5.9%, whiskers -7.2% to -5.4%, 0 outliers (min -7.2%, max -5.4%).-7.2%-5.4%-6.3%
p5
-7.1%
p10
-7.0%
p25
-6.8%
p50
-6.3%
p75
-5.9%
p90
-5.6%
p95
-5.5%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2), Tokenized Stocks (2), AI Agents (1)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $BONERTradFi is noticing our boner https://x.com/stevehou/status/2108634571642159595?s=46
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +2.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BONERBoner candle from HIMS up 10% on the day Hard money
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +2.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $AIWe are now enemies of the US
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    -5.4%
    Max return
    +13.2%
    Drawdown
    -12.1%
    Lead time
    no +25% move
  • $BONERWood morning
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    -7.2%
    Max return
    +2.4%
    Drawdown
    -20.7%
    Lead time
    no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.