@econoar
First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 1d ago5 theses on 2 tokens in 7d
Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.
Research score
0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based
Based on 1 resolved call
No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~13 Oct.
Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.
research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026
Research score history
Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient
No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~13 Oct).
Author metrics
Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.
Theses posted up to the snapshot.
Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.
Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.
No major move and a negative 3-day return.
Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.
Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.
Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.
Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call
N = 1 · Positive after 24h 0% (95% CI 0–79%)
- Median
- -5.0%
- Trimmed mean
- -5.0%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- -5.0%
- Range
- -5.0% … -5.0%
- p5
- -5.0%
- p10
- -5.0%
- p25
- -5.0%
- p50
- -5.0%
- p75
- -5.0%
- p90
- -5.0%
- p95
- -5.0%
Sector specialization
Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative
No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.
Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (1), Tokenized Stocks (1)
Recent calls
Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.
- $ORBIONice to see the team raised money Orbillions
- Posted
- 1d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -24.1%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $BONERMy next goal is a meeting with someone at Hims. I think we can easily pitch ourselves as a marketing testing ground for them. Companies spend millions and millions of $s for the type of marketing they are getting from us, for free! Really, the power of crypto is you create instant communities around a community cause and asset. Smart companies will realize this and embrace it and I think Hims will On the flip side, Hims investors are starting to buy Boner as well. If you think about it, it's an easy way for them to join a community around an asset they are invested in Next level up for all of us is become an accepted part of the overall Hims ecosystem. It'll happen, I can guarantee it. And then we show all memestock communities the roadmap to success.
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -2.5%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $BONERJust recorded another podcast about BONER. The people can't get enough BONER.
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -2.6%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $BONERGood flush. Back to $50mn
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -7.0%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $BONERwood morning
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- -5.0%
- Max return
- +5.1%
- Drawdown
- -18.6%
- Lead time
- no +25% move
Cohorts
Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.
Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.