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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 3h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 3h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@daionb20

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 23h ago13 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
13
N = 13 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
100%
95% CI 34–100% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
4.0h
N = 2 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-11.2%
N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 34.6%
N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
2
resolved · 11 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+70.8%
CI +46.4% … +95.3%
Trimmed mean
+70.8%
10% each side
Mean
+70.8%
σ 34.6%
Range
+46.4% … +95.3%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram2 samples in 3 bins from +46.4% to +95.3%.median+46.4%+95.3%+60%+70%+80%+90%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +70.8%, interquartile range +58.6% to +83.1%, whiskers +46.4% to +95.3%, 0 outliers (min +46.4%, max +95.3%).+46.4%+95.3%+70.8%
p5
+48.8%
p10
+51.3%
p25
+58.6%
p50
+70.8%
p75
+83.1%
p90
+90.4%
p95
+92.9%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $BATONBaton coded. https://x.com/pumpfun/status/2108988125074563284?s=46
    Posted
    23h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BATONPlease position accordingly.
    Posted
    24h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BATONBaton has the ingredients to break 300-400 million celling.
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +7.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BATONWhen the dip keeps dipping🫩
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +18.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BATONI’m ready for takeoff🚀🚀🚀🚀
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -19.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BATONThis coin just refuses to go down. Just wait.
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -8.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BATONNeed weak hands out before next leg
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -10.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BATON🗽🗽🗽🗽🗽🗽🗽
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -17.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BATONhttps://x.com/pumpfun/status/2108297379438870678?s=46 Pump is literally telling you what to buy. If you still don’t get it then that’s on you.
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -8.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BATONI missed Ai, cashcat and ansem. I will not miss this.
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +3.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BATONStop playing around and send this coin to the trillions already.
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +24.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BATONI’m telling ya man these dips are so important.
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +95.3%
    Max return
    +111%
    Drawdown
    -5.1%
    Lead time
    2.5h
  • $BATONFirst leg took us from 4 million to 15. Next one I expect around 30🗽
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +46.4%
    Max return
    +84.5%
    Drawdown
    -17.2%
    Lead time
    5.5h

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.