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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 2h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 2h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@cigmund

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 2d ago4 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 1 resolved call

No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls; this account has posted 4 theses so far.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved.

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
4
N = 4 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
100%
95% CI 21–100% · N = 1

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
26.1h
N = 1 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 1

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-26.1%
N = 1

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 1

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
—
N = 1

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
1
resolved · 3 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 1 · Positive after 24h 0% (95% CI 0–79%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
-6.1%
Trimmed mean
-6.1%
10% each side
Mean
-6.1%
Range
-6.1% … -6.1%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram1 samples in 1 bins from -6.1% to -6.1%.median-6.1%-6.1%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian -6.1%, interquartile range -6.1% to -6.1%, whiskers -6.1% to -6.1%, 0 outliers (min -6.1%, max -6.1%).-6.1%-6.1%
p5
-6.1%
p10
-6.1%
p25
-6.1%
p50
-6.1%
p75
-6.1%
p90
-6.1%
p95
-6.1%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (1), Tokenized Stocks (1)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $INUits beginning. pay attention to the signs. they’ll say it was obvious when its at 100M. iNu. full port.
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -28.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $INUiNu. full port. it’ll make sense at 100m.
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -7.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $INU🎾
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +14.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $INUholders are rewarded. you gotta rip through the drawdowns to get the 100x parabolas iNu ticker is the purest on chain eco will bounce patience
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    -6.1%
    Max return
    +58.0%
    Drawdown
    -26.1%
    Lead time
    26.1h

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.