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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 2h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 2h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@bando100x

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 12h ago4 theses on 2 tokens in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 2m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 1 resolved call

No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls; this account has posted 4 theses so far.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved.

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
4
N = 4 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
100%
95% CI 21–100% · N = 1

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
1.6h
N = 1 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 1

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-49.2%
N = 1

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 1

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
—
N = 1

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
1
resolved · 3 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 1 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 21–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+21.5%
Trimmed mean
+21.5%
10% each side
Mean
+21.5%
Range
+21.5% … +21.5%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram1 samples in 1 bins from +21.5% to +21.5%.median+21.5%+21.5%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +21.5%, interquartile range +21.5% to +21.5%, whiskers +21.5% to +21.5%, 0 outliers (min +21.5%, max +21.5%).+21.5%+21.5%
p5
+21.5%
p10
+21.5%
p25
+21.5%
p50
+21.5%
p75
+21.5%
p90
+21.5%
p95
+21.5%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (1)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $NINJACATbullish selling let the weak hands out
    Posted
    12h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $NINJACATdare to dream
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -17.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BATONoh yeah? https://x.com/Pumpfun/status/2108265477588062696
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +3.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $NINJACATgenny https://x.com/injective/status/2108222256400798014?s=46&t=_vKpUD-ZTVZU1Ri2GX-Efw
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +21.5%
    Max return
    +33.5%
    Drawdown
    -49.2%
    Lead time
    1.6h

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.