User quant profile

@badabeepp

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 18h ago15 theses on 3 tokens in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 44s agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100

Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses

N = 15 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate

100%

95% CI 34–100% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time

1.2h

N = 2 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate

N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call

-33.8%

N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency

—

N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility

σ 52.1%

N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size

resolved · 13 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal

Median: +58.4%; CI +21.5% … +95.3%
Trimmed mean: +58.4%; 10% each side
Mean: +58.4%; σ 52.1%
Range: +21.5% … +95.3%

p5: +25.2%
p10: +28.9%
p25: +40.0%
p50: +58.4%
p75: +76.8%
p90: +87.9%
p95: +91.6%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

Token	Posted	Status	24h	Max return	Drawdown	Lead time
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/saplingdotcash/status/2109037758245458012 update after update after update after update after update after update	18h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/saplingterminal/status/2108929806595399784?s=46 this is gonna get so much bigger than people realize	1d ago	Pending	-30.1%	—	—	—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/agentchud/status/2108753246248419361?s=46 agent chud said it best, free yourself from the pocket watchers private trading	1d ago	Pending	+15.7%	—	—	—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/saplingdotcash/status/2108745331311816727 sapling pairs on sapling?!?!? 🫢	2d ago	Pending	+48.6%	—	—	—
$SAPLINGthe privacy exchange	2d ago	Pending	+75.3%	—	—	—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/igor_zs1/status/2108620108683706419?s=46 greatest dev OAT	2d ago	Pending	+83.3%	—	—	—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/inversebrah/status/2108480372778610954?s=46 wassie????????????	2d ago	Pending	+97.9%	—	—	—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/badabeepp/status/2108410408272879785?s=46 “i can see a path where Zcash attracts a much larger valuation through its privacy and store-of-value thesis”	2d ago	Pending	+50.9%	—	—	—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/saplingdotcash/status/2108381053287383284?s=46 can confidently say I have never see anyone innovate and adapt at the speed igor has my entire time in this space truly one of the best devs and project i have ever seen	3d ago	Pending	+105%	—	—	—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/igor_zs1/status/2108258178236567590 the home for every zcash holder	3d ago	Pending	+74.2%	—	—	—
$NINJACATthere are genuinely like 4 different eco’s supporting this coin	3d ago	Pending	-6.2%	—	—	—
$PACK40 tokens paired to this now, benefits the entire PUMP ecosystem	3d ago	Pending	-98.7%	—	—	—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/saplingdotcash/status/2108218361930735800 market tanking but we building out a first fully native zcash trading terminal	3d ago	Pending	+79.6%	—	—	—
$NINJACATthe injective wallet is now holding 10% on fomo and have soft shilled directly on their x, with a response from the founder... hello	3d ago	Resolved	+21.5%	+33.5%	-49.2%	1.6h
$NINJACAThttps://x.com/raydium/status/2108187348433293494?s=46	3d ago	Resolved	+95.3%	+115%	-18.4%	47m

$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/saplingdotcash/status/2109037758245458012 update after update after update after update after update after update
Posted
18h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/saplingterminal/status/2108929806595399784?s=46 this is gonna get so much bigger than people realize
Posted
1d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-30.1%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/agentchud/status/2108753246248419361?s=46 agent chud said it best, free yourself from the pocket watchers private trading
Posted
1d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+15.7%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/saplingdotcash/status/2108745331311816727 sapling pairs on sapling?!?!? 🫢
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+48.6%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$SAPLINGthe privacy exchange
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+75.3%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/igor_zs1/status/2108620108683706419?s=46 greatest dev OAT
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+83.3%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/inversebrah/status/2108480372778610954?s=46 wassie????????????
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+97.9%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/badabeepp/status/2108410408272879785?s=46 “i can see a path where Zcash attracts a much larger valuation through its privacy and store-of-value thesis”
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+50.9%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/saplingdotcash/status/2108381053287383284?s=46 can confidently say I have never see anyone innovate and adapt at the speed igor has my entire time in this space truly one of the best devs and project i have ever seen
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+105%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/igor_zs1/status/2108258178236567590 the home for every zcash holder
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+74.2%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$NINJACATthere are genuinely like 4 different eco’s supporting this coin
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-6.2%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$PACK40 tokens paired to this now, benefits the entire PUMP ecosystem
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-98.7%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$SAPLINGhttps://x.com/saplingdotcash/status/2108218361930735800 market tanking but we building out a first fully native zcash trading terminal
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+79.6%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$NINJACATthe injective wallet is now holding 10% on fomo and have soft shilled directly on their x, with a response from the founder... hello
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+21.5%
Max return
+33.5%
Drawdown
-49.2%
Lead time
1.6h
$NINJACAThttps://x.com/raydium/status/2108187348433293494?s=46
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+95.3%
Max return
+115%
Drawdown
-18.4%
Lead time
47m

Cohorts

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