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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 3h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 3h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@ashrobin

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 1d ago2 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 1 resolved call

No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls; this account has posted 2 theses so far.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved.

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
2
N = 2 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
100%
95% CI 21–100% · N = 1

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
8.1h
N = 1 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 1

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-13.7%
N = 1

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 1

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
—
N = 1

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
1
resolved · 1 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 1 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 21–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+20.3%
Trimmed mean
+20.3%
10% each side
Mean
+20.3%
Range
+20.3% … +20.3%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram1 samples in 1 bins from +20.3% to +20.3%.median+20.3%+20.3%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +20.3%, interquartile range +20.3% to +20.3%, whiskers +20.3% to +20.3%, 0 outliers (min +20.3%, max +20.3%).+20.3%+20.3%
p5
+20.3%
p10
+20.3%
p25
+20.3%
p50
+20.3%
p75
+20.3%
p90
+20.3%
p95
+20.3%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (1), Tokenized Stocks (1)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $SIis today the day that SI finally reverses
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +31.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIwow what a beautiful morning
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +20.3%
    Max return
    +53.5%
    Drawdown
    -13.7%
    Lead time
    8.1h

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.