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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 2h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 2h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@alwaysbeselling

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 7h ago8 theses on 3 tokens in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 1 resolved call

No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
8
N = 8 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
0%
95% CI 0–79% · N = 1

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
—
N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
100%
N = 1

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-41.3%
N = 1

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 1

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
—
N = 1

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
1
resolved · 7 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 1 · Positive after 24h 0% (95% CI 0–79%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
-1.6%
Trimmed mean
-1.6%
10% each side
Mean
-1.6%
Range
-1.6% … -1.6%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram1 samples in 1 bins from -1.6% to -1.6%.median-1.6%-1.6%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian -1.6%, interquartile range -1.6% to -1.6%, whiskers -1.6% to -1.6%, 0 outliers (min -1.6%, max -1.6%).-1.6%-1.6%
p5
-1.6%
p10
-1.6%
p25
-1.6%
p50
-1.6%
p75
-1.6%
p90
-1.6%
p95
-1.6%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $JEANPHILguys i’m drunk asf
    Posted
    7h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $HOTBOTtech not being out isn’t necessarily bullish. we pumped based on hype > product. no metrics, no volume, no users. could use a correction + improved fundamentals before we go hire.
    Posted
    23h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSwe’re just ranging 🤪
    Posted
    24h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSok we bottom tonight
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +35.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSdeadcat
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +11.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSsee u at 8M
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +24.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSNUKE ITT
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +18.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSwas right about triple top ggs ez. see u sub 10M
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    -1.6%
    Max return
    +19.1%
    Drawdown
    -41.3%
    Lead time
    no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.