@_unknown_trader
First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 1d ago3 theses on 1 token in 7d
Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.
Research score
0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based
Based on 1 resolved call
No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls; this account has posted 3 theses so far.
Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.
research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026
Research score history
Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient
No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved.
Author metrics
Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.
Theses posted up to the snapshot.
Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.
Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.
No major move and a negative 3-day return.
Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.
Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.
Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.
Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call
N = 1 · Positive after 24h 0% (95% CI 0–79%)
- Median
- -22.4%
- Trimmed mean
- -22.4%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- -22.4%
- Range
- -22.4% … -22.4%
- p5
- -22.4%
- p10
- -22.4%
- p25
- -22.4%
- p50
- -22.4%
- p75
- -22.4%
- p90
- -22.4%
- p95
- -22.4%
Sector specialization
Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative
No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.
Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (1)
Recent calls
Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.
- $BAGSPAYa lot of you have never been early to a coin and it shows, Finn knows what’s he is doing here fam
- Posted
- 1d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +22.6%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $BAGSPAYknow what you hold & hold what you know Finn is about to claim what is his, bags started this and will finish this
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -13.8%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $BAGSPAYwhen Finn a tier 1 profile, watch what happens remember who he brought on before with bags?
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- -22.4%
- Max return
- +5.6%
- Drawdown
- -45.8%
- Lead time
- no +25% move
Cohorts
Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.
Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.