User quant profile

@Zapoleon

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 4h ago16 theses on 3 tokens in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100

Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses

N = 16 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate

100%

95% CI 34–100% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time

7.1h

N = 2 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate

N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call

-19.3%

N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency

—

N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility

σ 0.9%

N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size

resolved · 14 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal

Median: +13.1%; CI +12.5% … +13.7%
Trimmed mean: +13.1%; 10% each side
Mean: +13.1%; σ 0.9%
Range: +12.5% … +13.7%

p5: +12.6%
p10: +12.6%
p25: +12.8%
p50: +13.1%
p75: +13.4%
p90: +13.6%
p95: +13.6%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

Token	Posted	Status	24h	Max return	Drawdown	Lead time
$AIBitcoin of RWA’s	4h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$AIKinda curious wym hazecryp	19h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$AIBoard Sit	23h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$AIGrabbed $AI here Have made a living off of non-consensus trades. Buying when no one else wants too That’s how I first got STONK when PONS was the only talk in show AI has been around for 70 years. No-one serious you talk too ever mentioned Super intelligence. Matter of fact, the more they force SI, the less people accept it. LONG $AI	2d ago	Pending	-4.9%	—	—	—
$STONKstonk FUN pump BORING Q4 2026 recap The market will prove to be right	2d ago	Pending	-2.3%	—	—	—
$STONK$STONK is where the fun is	2d ago	Pending	-0.1%	—	—	—
$STONKMy guess: We are going to see 90. People will sell once it breaks 100. Don't Panic, after 90 we are going to new highs. Most won't have the hands to hold through this dip though. Strong will win $STONK	2d ago	Pending	+0.9%	—	—	—
$STONK25% supply burn by EOM	2d ago	Pending	+2.5%	—	—	—
$STONKBoth MONKE & Gud Blondie probably work for PumpFun. Buys then nukes bags then transfers out. HODL, our time will come	2d ago	Pending	-4.8%	—	—	—
$STONKEveryone is now united under a just cause - Defeat Pumpfun. $STONK	2d ago	Pending	-14.8%	—	—	—
$ZCATImagine buying ZEC for $50	3d ago	Pending	-4.3%	—	—	—
$STONKZCAT multi 9 figures will send STONK close to a billion. Zend it $STONK	3d ago	Pending	-10.2%	—	—	—
$ZCATCats bounce hard $ZCAT	3d ago	Pending	+8.0%	—	—	—
$ZCATZap	3d ago	Pending	+25.5%	—	—	—
$ZCATWhat if GTA 6 mentions the ZCAT? Repost & share https://x.com/lfilistin/status/2108197985310151135?s=46	3d ago	Resolved	+12.5%	+33.7%	-20.9%	6.7h
$ZCATIf MASK & Pumpfun whales are trying to rug ZCAT to damage STONK/ my rotation, little do they know I will literally never sell this. The lower it goes, the more whales will support the line and the higher it will go. Try your best. ZEC is consoldating at its 50 day and in a few weeks will be above its highs again. Meanwhile getting paid in ZEC daily.	3d ago	Resolved	+13.7%	+38.9%	-17.8%	7.4h

$AIBitcoin of RWA’s
Posted
4h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$AIKinda curious wym hazecryp
Posted
19h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$AIBoard Sit
Posted
23h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$AIGrabbed $AI here Have made a living off of non-consensus trades. Buying when no one else wants too That’s how I first got STONK when PONS was the only talk in show AI has been around for 70 years. No-one serious you talk too ever mentioned Super intelligence. Matter of fact, the more they force SI, the less people accept it. LONG $AI
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-4.9%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$STONKstonk FUN pump BORING Q4 2026 recap The market will prove to be right
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-2.3%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$STONK$STONK is where the fun is
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-0.1%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$STONKMy guess: We are going to see 90. People will sell once it breaks 100. Don't Panic, after 90 we are going to new highs. Most won't have the hands to hold through this dip though. Strong will win $STONK
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+0.9%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$STONK25% supply burn by EOM
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+2.5%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$STONKBoth MONKE & Gud Blondie probably work for PumpFun. Buys then nukes bags then transfers out. HODL, our time will come
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-4.8%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$STONKEveryone is now united under a just cause - Defeat Pumpfun. $STONK
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-14.8%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$ZCATImagine buying ZEC for $50
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-4.3%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$STONKZCAT multi 9 figures will send STONK close to a billion. Zend it $STONK
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-10.2%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$ZCATCats bounce hard $ZCAT
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+8.0%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$ZCATZap
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+25.5%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$ZCATWhat if GTA 6 mentions the ZCAT? Repost & share https://x.com/lfilistin/status/2108197985310151135?s=46
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+12.5%
Max return
+33.7%
Drawdown
-20.9%
Lead time
6.7h
$ZCATIf MASK & Pumpfun whales are trying to rug ZCAT to damage STONK/ my rotation, little do they know I will literally never sell this. The lower it goes, the more whales will support the line and the higher it will go. Try your best. ZEC is consoldating at its 50 day and in a few weeks will be above its highs again. Meanwhile getting paid in ZEC daily.
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+13.7%
Max return
+38.9%
Drawdown
-17.8%
Lead time
7.4h

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