User quant profile

@WayneTheMan

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 2h ago10 theses on 1 token in 7d

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100

Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 1 resolved call

No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses

N = 8 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate

95% CI 0–79% · N = 1

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time

—

N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate

N = 1

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call

-3.9%

N = 1

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency

—

N = 1

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility

—

N = 1

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size

resolved · 9 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 1 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 21–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal

Median: +13.2%
Trimmed mean: +13.2%; 10% each side
Mean: +13.2%
Range: +13.2% … +13.2%

p5: +13.2%
p10: +13.2%
p25: +13.2%
p50: +13.2%
p75: +13.2%
p90: +13.2%
p95: +13.2%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (1)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

Token	Posted	Status	24h	Max return	Drawdown	Lead time
$CATEStay convicted, diamond hands. This takes time	2h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$CATEWhole market slacking like crazy rn don’t get shaken out right now. This is where you increase your position and chill	7h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$CATEWhole market slacking like crazy rn don’t get shaken out right now. This is where you increase your position and chill	2d ago	Pending	-3.6%	—	—	—
$CATEYall fine just chill 🤷‍♂️ sucks being down but we’re in a dip it’s ight. Stay convicted diamond hands. Know what you hold	2d ago	Pending	-2.5%	—	—	—
$CATEFeel the tingle, hold your position. Whole market is down rn stay patient	2d ago	Pending	-0.7%	—	—	—
$CATEHolder count STILL rising this coin is going billions with or without you. 141k holders is INSANE, CATE TO THE MOON	2d ago	Pending	-8.3%	—	—	—
$CATEHolder count STILL rising this coin is going billions with or without you. 141k holders is INSANE, CATE TO THE MOON	2d ago	Pending	-3.7%	—	—	—
$CATEGoodmorning cate, stay locked. DIAMOND HANDS. We stay unphased, the whole market is down right now nothing to get shaken out for. We’ve been in worse spots then this by a mile	2d ago	Pending	-3.1%	—	—	—
$CATEKeep showin up keep being loud	3d ago	Pending	+9.5%	—	—	—
$CATEDiamond hands, we bounce back much much higher	3d ago	Resolved	+13.2%	+18.8%	-3.9%	no +25% move

$CATEStay convicted, diamond hands. This takes time
Posted
2h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEWhole market slacking like crazy rn don’t get shaken out right now. This is where you increase your position and chill
Posted
7h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEWhole market slacking like crazy rn don’t get shaken out right now. This is where you increase your position and chill
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-3.6%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEYall fine just chill 🤷‍♂️ sucks being down but we’re in a dip it’s ight. Stay convicted diamond hands. Know what you hold
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-2.5%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEFeel the tingle, hold your position. Whole market is down rn stay patient
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-0.7%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEHolder count STILL rising this coin is going billions with or without you. 141k holders is INSANE, CATE TO THE MOON
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-8.3%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEHolder count STILL rising this coin is going billions with or without you. 141k holders is INSANE, CATE TO THE MOON
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-3.7%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEGoodmorning cate, stay locked. DIAMOND HANDS. We stay unphased, the whole market is down right now nothing to get shaken out for. We’ve been in worse spots then this by a mile
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-3.1%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEKeep showin up keep being loud
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+9.5%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEDiamond hands, we bounce back much much higher
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+13.2%
Max return
+18.8%
Drawdown
-3.9%
Lead time
no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.