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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 3h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 4h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@VBird

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 5h ago7 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
7
N = 7 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
100%
95% CI 34–100% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
8.8h
N = 2 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-17.6%
N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 5.2%
N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
2
resolved · 5 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+17.2%
CI +13.5% … +20.9%
Trimmed mean
+17.2%
10% each side
Mean
+17.2%
σ 5.2%
Range
+13.5% … +20.9%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram2 samples in 3 bins from +13.5% to +20.9%.median+13.5%+20.9%+16%+18%+20%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +17.2%, interquartile range +15.3% to +19.0%, whiskers +13.5% to +20.9%, 0 outliers (min +13.5%, max +20.9%).+13.5%+20.9%+17.2%
p5
+13.8%
p10
+14.2%
p25
+15.3%
p50
+17.2%
p75
+19.0%
p90
+20.1%
p95
+20.5%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2), Tokenized Stocks (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $SI$SI / ELON— FROM WORDS TO ACTION 🚀 Elon said SpaceXAI would become SpaceXSI. Now the official X account has changed to @SpaceXSI. 💪🏼🚀💪🏼 That’s a concrete branding step—and another reason the Super Intelligence narrative has my attention. My thesis: continued use of SI by major technology brands like SpaceXSI and many other will keep this story top of mind and relevant beyond a single news cycle. For $SI, the opportunity is turning that exposure into lasting community growth. I’m holding $SI and stacking $NVDAx. The narrative keeps developing. 🐕⚡ https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2109012639049244981 https://x.com/spacexsi
    Posted
    5h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SI$SI — THE BOUNCE IS TAKING SHAPE 👀🚀 Back above $29M market cap, with $33.3M the next level I’m watching. My bullish setup: break above $33.3M, retest it and hold it as support. That would strengthen the case for another leg higher—and potentially an eventual challenge of the ATH. The bounce is encouraging. Follow-through is what turns it into a stronger reversal. Holding $SI. Stacking $NVDAx. 🐕⚡
    Posted
    20h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SI$SI — KEEP PERSPECTIVE THROUGH THE NOISE 🐕⚡ Unipcs’s overnight post makes a point I agree with: fear around widely watched dates can drown out the actual thesis. https://x.com/theunipcs/status/2108424718734807157?s=46&t=QTrTwrU_ptvgM3nkqKLrGA Yesterday, $SI rebounded from roughly $19M to $31M before pulling back to around $26M this morning. Buyers stepped in—now the next leg matters. My bullish setup: defend this pullback, establish a higher low and reclaim $31M. A sustained move above $33M would strengthen the reversal case. I’m giving the thesis plenty of room to develop while watching the evidence that we can smash through to an ATH on $SI all while stacking my $NVDAx rewards. Remember , Volatility is Vitality. 🚀
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -19.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SI$SI — THE FOLLOW-THROUGH I WAS WATCHING FOR 👀🚀 From roughly $19M to pushing above $29M market cap—a rebound of more than 50%. My bottoming and breakout thesis is getting traction. Now I’m watching whether $SI can hold these gains, build a higher low and push toward $33M. That would strengthen the case for a broader reversal. Momentum is picking up. Volatility is Vitality. Holding $SI, stacking $NVDAx. 🐕⚡
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -21.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SI$SI — BEZOS LIKES THE NAME 👀🚀 Asked by Bret Baier whether he prefers AI or SI, Jeff Bezos said: “I do like SI, because artificial is not a very flattering thing.” My thesis: every prominent voice discussing Super Intelligence gives the $SI narrative another chance to reach a wider audience. Bezos’s preference supports the rebranding. More exposure for the narrative. Another reason I’m watching and stacking $SI while receiving $NVDAx for HODL’ing. 🐕⚡ Watch the Fox News Interview: https://x.com/marionawfal/status/2107969227542172128
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +3.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SI$SI — WHALES BUYING WHILE SMALLER WALLETS SELL 👀🐋 Shortly after my bottoming thesis, Sun Flow reported roughly $1.43M in net whale inflows over seven days, including $83.8K over the latest 24 hours. That strengthens the accumulation case behind my $22–25M support thesis. If that zone holds and selling pressure eases, a reclaim of $33M is the next move I’m watching. Holding $SI. Stacking $NVDAx. 🐕⚡ https://x.com/sunflowsolana/status/2108179012719636967
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +20.9%
    Max return
    +53.2%
    Drawdown
    -13.8%
    Lead time
    7.4h
  • $SI$SI — WATCHING FOR A TURN 👀🚀 The $22–25M zone could be forming a bottom—the same area that launched its first explosive run. My bullish setup: support holds, selling pressure fades, and $SI reclaims $30-33M. That would strengthen the case for another leg higher and an eventual challenge of the ATH. Watching for buyers to confirm the bounce. Holding $SI, stacking $NVDAx. 🐕⚡
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +13.5%
    Max return
    +39.7%
    Drawdown
    -21.4%
    Lead time
    10.2h

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