@VBird
First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 5h ago7 theses on 1 token in 7d
Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.
Research score
0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based
Based on 2 resolved calls
No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.
Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.
research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026
Research score history
Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient
No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).
Author metrics
Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.
Theses posted up to the snapshot.
Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.
Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.
No major move and a negative 3-day return.
Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.
Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.
Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.
Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call
N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)
- Median
- +17.2%
- CI +13.5% … +20.9%
- Trimmed mean
- +17.2%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- +17.2%
- σ 5.2%
- Range
- +13.5% … +20.9%
- p5
- +13.8%
- p10
- +14.2%
- p25
- +15.3%
- p50
- +17.2%
- p75
- +19.0%
- p90
- +20.1%
- p95
- +20.5%
Sector specialization
Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative
No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.
Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2), Tokenized Stocks (2)
Recent calls
Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.
- $SI$SI / ELON— FROM WORDS TO ACTION 🚀 Elon said SpaceXAI would become SpaceXSI. Now the official X account has changed to @SpaceXSI. 💪🏼🚀💪🏼 That’s a concrete branding step—and another reason the Super Intelligence narrative has my attention. My thesis: continued use of SI by major technology brands like SpaceXSI and many other will keep this story top of mind and relevant beyond a single news cycle. For $SI, the opportunity is turning that exposure into lasting community growth. I’m holding $SI and stacking $NVDAx. The narrative keeps developing. 🐕⚡ https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2109012639049244981 https://x.com/spacexsi
- Posted
- 5h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SI$SI — THE BOUNCE IS TAKING SHAPE 👀🚀 Back above $29M market cap, with $33.3M the next level I’m watching. My bullish setup: break above $33.3M, retest it and hold it as support. That would strengthen the case for another leg higher—and potentially an eventual challenge of the ATH. The bounce is encouraging. Follow-through is what turns it into a stronger reversal. Holding $SI. Stacking $NVDAx. 🐕⚡
- Posted
- 20h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SI$SI — KEEP PERSPECTIVE THROUGH THE NOISE 🐕⚡ Unipcs’s overnight post makes a point I agree with: fear around widely watched dates can drown out the actual thesis. https://x.com/theunipcs/status/2108424718734807157?s=46&t=QTrTwrU_ptvgM3nkqKLrGA Yesterday, $SI rebounded from roughly $19M to $31M before pulling back to around $26M this morning. Buyers stepped in—now the next leg matters. My bullish setup: defend this pullback, establish a higher low and reclaim $31M. A sustained move above $33M would strengthen the reversal case. I’m giving the thesis plenty of room to develop while watching the evidence that we can smash through to an ATH on $SI all while stacking my $NVDAx rewards. Remember , Volatility is Vitality. 🚀
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -19.4%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SI$SI — THE FOLLOW-THROUGH I WAS WATCHING FOR 👀🚀 From roughly $19M to pushing above $29M market cap—a rebound of more than 50%. My bottoming and breakout thesis is getting traction. Now I’m watching whether $SI can hold these gains, build a higher low and push toward $33M. That would strengthen the case for a broader reversal. Momentum is picking up. Volatility is Vitality. Holding $SI, stacking $NVDAx. 🐕⚡
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -21.3%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SI$SI — BEZOS LIKES THE NAME 👀🚀 Asked by Bret Baier whether he prefers AI or SI, Jeff Bezos said: “I do like SI, because artificial is not a very flattering thing.” My thesis: every prominent voice discussing Super Intelligence gives the $SI narrative another chance to reach a wider audience. Bezos’s preference supports the rebranding. More exposure for the narrative. Another reason I’m watching and stacking $SI while receiving $NVDAx for HODL’ing. 🐕⚡ Watch the Fox News Interview: https://x.com/marionawfal/status/2107969227542172128
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +3.8%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SI$SI — WHALES BUYING WHILE SMALLER WALLETS SELL 👀🐋 Shortly after my bottoming thesis, Sun Flow reported roughly $1.43M in net whale inflows over seven days, including $83.8K over the latest 24 hours. That strengthens the accumulation case behind my $22–25M support thesis. If that zone holds and selling pressure eases, a reclaim of $33M is the next move I’m watching. Holding $SI. Stacking $NVDAx. 🐕⚡ https://x.com/sunflowsolana/status/2108179012719636967
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- +20.9%
- Max return
- +53.2%
- Drawdown
- -13.8%
- Lead time
- 7.4h
- $SI$SI — WATCHING FOR A TURN 👀🚀 The $22–25M zone could be forming a bottom—the same area that launched its first explosive run. My bullish setup: support holds, selling pressure fades, and $SI reclaims $30-33M. That would strengthen the case for another leg higher and an eventual challenge of the ATH. Watching for buyers to confirm the bounce. Holding $SI, stacking $NVDAx. 🐕⚡
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- +13.5%
- Max return
- +39.7%
- Drawdown
- -21.4%
- Lead time
- 10.2h
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