@TradBengal
First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 15h ago7 theses on 1 token in 7d
Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.
Research score
0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based
Based on 1 resolved call
No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.
Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.
research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026
Research score history
Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient
No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).
Author metrics
Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.
Theses posted up to the snapshot.
Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.
Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.
No major move and a negative 3-day return.
Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.
Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.
Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.
Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call
N = 1 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 21–100%)
- Median
- +149%
- Trimmed mean
- +149%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- +149%
- Range
- +149% … +149%
- p5
- +149%
- p10
- +149%
- p25
- +149%
- p50
- +149%
- p75
- +149%
- p90
- +149%
- p95
- +149%
Sector specialization
Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative
No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.
Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (1)
Recent calls
Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.
- $JEANPHILTo be clear: The whale locking 1/2 of his tokens was completely done on his own, by reaching out to the team and presenting the offer - not only screams bullish conviction on the path for Jean, but long term Intensions, too. *I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s reading our chat from a low-key FOMO acct. - I’d be watching my investment.. 👀🙋🏻♂️ For the amount of money top holders are willing to invest into the vision of Jean Phil, along with the rest of the holders on the roster - Speaks volume’s of the type of community behind not only Jean Phil’s character, but the beginning of a new era of AI influencers and where Jean is headed. - As I mentioned before, the holders are the chart - we decide how high this goes. BUY. HOLD. 💸 -Jean Kitty 😺
- Posted
- 15h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $JEANPHILJust spent an hour sourcing my $JEANPHIL Halloween costume. 🥐
- Posted
- 19h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $JEANPHILGO VOTE: 1 hour left to vote for our Papa Whale's 50% of holdings freeze duration, either 12 Months or 18 Months - Tweet Link Below: https://x.com/greedoggo/status/2108363995547570257?s=46&t=rbXQ911y_njDB9izhKG8Yw
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +6.6%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $JEANPHILPLEASE READ: This will put a lot of traders at ease regarding this massive whale buying a bunch of supply - “One of our largest holders has offered to lock half of his bag: 3.85% of the supply, around 37M tokens, on-chain via Streamflow. You decide how long. Full details in the reply below.” Original tweet: https://x.com/greedoggo/status/2108363995547570257?s=46&t=rbXQ911y_njDB9izhKG8Yw
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +64.4%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $JEANPHILI've been in, why am I still getting FOMO. 8-P
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +68.0%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $JEANPHILSomeone may have mentioned this already.. At the top left above the chart, I keep seeing the pfp of the ticker changing back and forth, but only on Fomo and not OKX Web3?. It'll read: "New Photo" JEANPHIL $SOL, then change to "Older Photo" JEANPHIL $MACARON.. Anyone else see it?
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +78.6%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $JEANPHILThis chart is a “Secx” Symbol.
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- +149%
- Max return
- +203%
- Drawdown
- -10.5%
- Lead time
- 3.4h
Cohorts
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