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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 1h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@Tiglath

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 2h ago11 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
11
N = 11 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
0%
95% CI 0–66% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
—
N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-2.9%
N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 0.4%
N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
2
resolved · 9 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+16.3%
CI +16.1% … +16.6%
Trimmed mean
+16.3%
10% each side
Mean
+16.3%
σ 0.4%
Range
+16.1% … +16.6%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram2 samples in 3 bins from +16.1% to +16.6%.median+16.1%+16.6%+16.2%+16.4%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +16.3%, interquartile range +16.2% to +16.5%, whiskers +16.1% to +16.6%, 0 outliers (min +16.1%, max +16.6%).+16.1%+16.6%+16.3%
p5
+16.1%
p10
+16.1%
p25
+16.2%
p50
+16.3%
p75
+16.5%
p90
+16.6%
p95
+16.6%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $CATEGM all. Have a great day- go do something fun. I’ll be HOLDING 💎✋🏻
    Posted
    2h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEI’m taking a page outta ballers playbook. Chillin at work drinking coffee ☕️
    Posted
    18h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEWelcome to the CATEMUNITY Coach O! 💎✋🏻
    Posted
    19h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEGM everybody Let’s all go tell someone new about the community this weekend! 💎✋🏻
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -5.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATECate- a bag you can sleep on HOLDING 💎✋🏻
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +0.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEGM everyone. Make it a great day today! HOLDING 💎✋🏻
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -7.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEIt was a great day in Spaces- special guests and a lot of OG’s stopped by. Numerous ppl who have been in Crypto for a while had HUGE compliments for our community. That’s a testament to each and every one of you. Keep up the great work and as per usual….. I’m HOLDING 💎✋🏻
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +7.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEHey guys join Spaces on X! https://x.com/jsaini99997/status/2108301667913322922?s=46
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +7.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEWe’re chillin in Spaces on X. Come hang out and raid posts with us!
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +16.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATESpaces on X. Cate Train is rolling- come hang out. If you don’t want to use the link- follow me on X and you can join that way! https://x.com/wifirug/status/2108211125334757811?s=46
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +16.6%
    Max return
    +22.1%
    Drawdown
    -1.3%
    Lead time
    no +25% move
  • $CATEGM everyone. Hope you make it a great day today! HOLDING 💎✋🏻
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +16.1%
    Max return
    +18.0%
    Drawdown
    -4.6%
    Lead time
    no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.