@The__Solstice
First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 17h ago9 theses on 2 tokens in 7d
Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.
Research score
0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based
Based on 1 resolved call
No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.
Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.
research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026
Research score history
Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient
No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).
Author metrics
Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.
Theses posted up to the snapshot.
Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.
Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.
No major move and a negative 3-day return.
Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.
Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.
Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.
Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call
N = 1 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 21–100%)
- Median
- +36.1%
- Trimmed mean
- +36.1%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- +36.1%
- Range
- +36.1% … +36.1%
- p5
- +36.1%
- p10
- +36.1%
- p25
- +36.1%
- p50
- +36.1%
- p75
- +36.1%
- p90
- +36.1%
- p95
- +36.1%
Sector specialization
Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative
No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.
Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (1)
Recent calls
Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.
- $STONKINUPrice is stable here and consolidating Only a matter of time now.
- Posted
- 17h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $STONKINUSo bullish on stonkfun here. Stonk+stonkinu barbell flies soon https://x.com/The__Solstice/status/2108869442742653136
- Posted
- 1d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -39.7%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $STONKTrade a little bit of pain for a lot of pleasure
- Posted
- 1d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +6.1%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $STONKINUJoin stonkinu tg https://x.com/The__Solstice/status/2108700461255782802
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -15.2%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $STONKINUHigher.
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -18.6%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $STONKINUAdding here. Let's send it
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -34.5%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $STONKINUWE'RE GOING SO MUCH HIGHER https://x.com/The__Solstice/status/2108417004075909480
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -24.7%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $STONKINUAre you ready for it https://x.com/The__Solstice/status/2108386362496110759
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -27.3%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $STONKINUBuy dips and hold. This one is the real deal
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- +36.1%
- Max return
- +83.7%
- Drawdown
- -46.3%
- Lead time
- 6.2h
Cohorts
Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.
Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.