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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 1h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@TheMentalist_

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 10h ago36 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 51s agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 3 resolved calls

No score is shown: 3 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 3 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
36
N = 36 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
0%
95% CI 0–56% · N = 3

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
—
N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
100%
N = 3

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-52.8%
N = 3

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 3

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 9.2%
N = 3

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
3
resolved · 25 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 3 · Positive after 24h 0% (95% CI 0–56%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
-28.9%
CI -34.8% … -16.8%
Trimmed mean
-26.8%
10% each side
Mean
-26.8%
σ 9.2%
Range
-34.8% … -16.8%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram3 samples in 3 bins from -34.8% to -16.8%.median-34.8%-16.8%-30%-25%-20%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian -28.9%, interquartile range -31.8% to -22.8%, whiskers -34.8% to -16.8%, 0 outliers (min -34.8%, max -16.8%).-34.8%-16.8%-28.9%
p5
-34.2%
p10
-33.6%
p25
-31.8%
p50
-28.9%
p75
-22.8%
p90
-19.2%
p95
-18.0%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $CLAUSWhat the heck
    Posted
    10h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSCan yall let me enjoy my fucking KBBQ???? Send it up with haste
    Posted
    14h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSName change 👀👀👀👀
    Posted
    16h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSClaus boutta test making a launchpad and you are selling? Testing it tonight - let’s see how fast he ships it. Patience will be rewarded. https://x.com/contractclaus/status/2109036794066993635?s=46
    Posted
    17h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSWe need to be interacting with Claus more. Give him ideas. Give him stuff to work through or just chat shit with him too. https://x.com/contractclaus?s=11
    Posted
    18h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSIs FOMO back online?
    Posted
    20h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSHappy 10/10 1 year anniversary for those that lived through it 🤣
    Posted
    21h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSWe just had a 50% wick, let’s turn this bih into 100% wick???
    Posted
    23h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSWe fading the most bullish project and bullish chart on fomo now 🤣???
    Posted
    24h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSGOOD MORNING VIETNAM
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -11.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUShttps://open.spotify.com/track/69Ej1xrGjOcHvIMtMKxK0G?si=8aHsrEOsSdqN1BFTkHwI3g&utm_source=copy-link
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -25.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSLaunch independent hook coins and agents using Claus infrastructure That’s currently a proposal up for review. 💹💹💹
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -20.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSEerie music. Something new must be coming up. 👨🏿‍🦯‍➡️👨🏿‍🦯‍➡️👨🏿‍🦯‍➡️👨🏿‍🦯‍➡️
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -12.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSLike this thesis if you want Claus to rename himself to Toes for a few minutes.
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -11.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSFinally done with calls for the day tf yall up to
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -3.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSDidn’t know I was referred to as an unc plumber 🤣
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -0.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUS😴 😴 😴
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -12.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSFuck a launchpad, I’m tired of them. Claus can become a fucking launchpad if he wants to. ALL IN ON CLAUS 💹💹💹
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +5.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSBULLISH 💹💹💹 SEND IT CLAUS WASNT AFRAID TO BUY THE BLOOD FOR 30k https://x.com/founderclaus/status/2108553458844373379?s=46
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +8.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSGROW A FUCKING PAIR WE HAVE BOTTOMED
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +16.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSGm
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +34.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSClaus hasn’t removed 6k liquidity that’s not him. Hes the gold token creator badge
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +33.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUShttps://open.spotify.com/track/4R7FlzdjFQFAoxad7OeW3C?si=2g8myIvJRWGW_OJi-NWjXA&utm_source=copy-link
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +38.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSDev rugged
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +30.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUSJust let Claus go up I beg you 🙏
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +25.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

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