@PoorGoat_
First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 13h ago14 theses on 1 token in 7d
Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.
Research score
0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based
Based on 2 resolved calls
No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.
Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.
research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026
Research score history
Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient
No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).
Author metrics
Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.
Theses posted up to the snapshot.
Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.
Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.
No major move and a negative 3-day return.
Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.
Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.
Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.
Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call
N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)
- Median
- +13.1%
- CI +13.0% … +13.2%
- Trimmed mean
- +13.1%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- +13.1%
- σ 0.1%
- Range
- +13.0% … +13.2%
- p5
- +13.0%
- p10
- +13.0%
- p25
- +13.1%
- p50
- +13.1%
- p75
- +13.1%
- p90
- +13.2%
- p95
- +13.2%
Sector specialization
Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative
No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.
Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2)
Recent calls
Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.
- $CATEWhat happens when the market inevitably turns, CATE teleports to billions, and you’re sitting on the sidelines watching the coin of the cycle make history? Don’t be that guy. 🐈💛
- Posted
- 13h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEThe last 3 months in the trenches were just a warmup for what’s coming imo. Multiple 9 figure runners, activity we haven’t seen in years, and now a cooldown before what I believe will be the real bull run. As for $CATE , I’ve genuinely never been more bullish. The last two and a half months weren’t just about taking CATE from a tiny memecoin to nine figures. They were about building the foundation for what I believe will become the biggest memecoin community crypto has ever seen. We’ve survived massive drawdowns, our holders are becoming battle tested, and our community continues to show up and onboard new people EVERY SINGLE DAY. And if you think what we’ve accomplished so far is impressive, imagine what this community could accomplish with a full-blown bull market behind it. The goal was never $100M. The goal was never $1B. The goal has always been to flip DOGE. I believed it at $3M. I believed it at $120M. And I believe it just as much today. Nothing is guaranteed, but my conviction in what we’re building has never been stronger. We can’t control when the market turns, but we can control how prepared we are when it does. Until then, we have work to do. Slowly, then all at once. CATE flips DOGE. 🐈💛
- Posted
- 17h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEStablecoin till it isn’t imo 👀🐈
- Posted
- 19h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEThere’s a coin called Catecoin and it looks really good here imo
- Posted
- 1d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -5.1%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEOF EVERY SINGLE COIN LAUNCHED ON EVERY CHAIN IN THE LAST 6 MONTHS, CATE IS CURRENTLY: 7TH HIGHEST IN MARKET CAP. 2ND HIGHEST IN HOLDER COUNT. If you narrow that down to memes without severe supply control, CATE is THIRD, behind only CASHCAT and NIU LAI. CASHCAT got listed on Robinhood because it’s on Robinhood chain. NIU LAI got listed on Binance because it’s on binance chain. CATE HAS NOT HAD A SINGLE MAJOR EXCHANGE LISTING YET. You guys seriously need to zoom out and understand what you hold. Now imagine what happens when the bull run really kicks off and we start seeing multiple billion dollar runners across every chain. WHERE DO YOU THINK CATE WILL BE? There will be green days. There will be red days. The unfortunate reality is that people are always loudest on the green days and quietest when the real work needs to be done. Our time will come. Until then, we need to keep working our fucking asses off. Billion dollar communities aren’t built overnight. You cannot microwave this. CATE FLIPS DOGE.
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -3.3%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEIt’s that time of the cycle where you turn off your brain and believe in something. Don’t be the guy 6 months from now wondering how you spent every single day in the trenches and somehow missed the coin that flips DOGE. CATE.
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -1.1%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEBig weekend for THE CATE COINS loading. Balls tinglingggggg
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -7.1%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEAll roads lead to THE CATE COINS
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -5.9%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEStudy the last 3 breakouts after extended consolidations imo. Catecoin looks insane here
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -8.2%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEHappy Friday gang. Market recovering and CATE looking amazing heading into the weekend. Now is NOT the time to slow down. If anything, it’s time to bagwork harder than ever. People forget just how violent the moves up can get. Don’t get left behind when things start moving. Bottom looks in on our beloved catecoin. CATEtober is just getting started. 👀💛🐈
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -4.4%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEThis will be obvious in hindsight
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +6.6%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEMarket looks like it finally bottomed. Time for the fun part of CATEtober?!? 👀💛🐈
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +5.7%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEThe people yearn to panic sell the bottom again 😹 Me? Comfy in my CATE. Study CATE’s relative strength compared to the rest of the market during this bloodbath. Now ask yourself, if CATE is holding up this well while the market gets slaughtered, what happens when the market inevitably turns? It’s always darkest before the dawn. Much, much higher soon imo. gCATE 🐈
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- +13.2%
- Max return
- +18.8%
- Drawdown
- -3.9%
- Lead time
- no +25% move
- $CATEEvery CATE consolidation period requires sacrificing a few bigger holders right before the next explosive leg. We are there again. Thank you for your sacrifice, sellers. You’ll be back soon 😹
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- +13.0%
- Max return
- +17.4%
- Drawdown
- -5.0%
- Lead time
- no +25% move
Cohorts
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