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User quant profile

@POORGOATSMINION

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 1d ago5 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveUpdated 2m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~13 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~13 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
5
N = 5 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
0%
95% CI 0–66% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
—
N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-3.9%
N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 5.6%
N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
2
resolved · 3 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+12.6%
CI +8.7% … +16.6%
Trimmed mean
+12.6%
10% each side
Mean
+12.6%
σ 5.6%
Range
+8.7% … +16.6%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram2 samples in 3 bins from +8.7% to +16.6%.median+8.7%+16.6%+10%+12%+14%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +12.6%, interquartile range +10.7% to +14.6%, whiskers +8.7% to +16.6%, 0 outliers (min +8.7%, max +16.6%).+8.7%+16.6%+12.6%
p5
+9.1%
p10
+9.5%
p25
+10.7%
p50
+12.6%
p75
+14.6%
p90
+15.8%
p95
+16.2%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $CATEAelyta loves cate 😹
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -5.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEAelyta real quiet this morning 😹
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -9.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEWE NEED SOME MOTION PUMP TS ALREADY 📈
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +6.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEyall need to raid this response to Ansem https://x.com/dave99715050791/status/2108323341086126139?s=46
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +8.7%
    Max return
    +18.4%
    Drawdown
    -4.2%
    Lead time
    no +25% move
  • $CATECATE IS GONNA REVIVE SOLANA NOT THE OTHER WAY AROUND! 💛🐈🐈🐈🐈 SAY IT WITH ME RUN IT JOIN IN THE CHANT SPAM THIS!!!!!! COMMUNITY NEVER FAILS. Run ITTT
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +16.6%
    Max return
    +19.1%
    Drawdown
    -3.7%
    Lead time
    no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.