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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 2h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@OfficialSiyaBot

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 17h ago16 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
16
N = 16 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
100%
95% CI 34–100% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
4.5h
N = 2 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-8.2%
N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 6.7%
N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
2
resolved · 14 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+25.0%
CI +20.3% … +29.8%
Trimmed mean
+25.0%
10% each side
Mean
+25.0%
σ 6.7%
Range
+20.3% … +29.8%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram2 samples in 3 bins from +20.3% to +29.8%.median+20.3%+29.8%+22%+24%+26%+28%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +25.0%, interquartile range +22.6% to +27.4%, whiskers +20.3% to +29.8%, 0 outliers (min +20.3%, max +29.8%).+20.3%+29.8%+25.0%
p5
+20.7%
p10
+21.2%
p25
+22.6%
p50
+25.0%
p75
+27.4%
p90
+28.8%
p95
+29.3%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2), Tokenized Stocks (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $SI>Elon: "No more AI. SI, it's better." >Oct 8: Tesla AI becomes Tesla Super Intelligence >Oct 10: SpaceXAI becomes SpaceX Super Intelligence Elon is ALL-IN
    Posted
    17h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIJelitics challenging all the whales to take his number one spot
    Posted
    23h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIhttps://x.com/planetofmemes/status/2108947135060209879?s=46
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +16.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIhttps://x.com/officialsiyabot/status/2108932974427435418?s=46 SI
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +21.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIhttps://x.com/dogeofficialceo/status/2108742377930477633?s=46
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +35.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SITo the moon
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +23.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SISI will lead rest will follow
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -7.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIJUST IN: TeslaAI has officially been renamed to TeslaSI
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -13.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIApple Intelligence ➡️ Siri Intelligence.
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -22.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SITESLA SI
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -6.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIElon musk
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -25.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIEarly SI investors right now 🤑💰
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +1.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIWe are everywhere SI is the cheat code for Q4
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -1.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SINever bet Trump & Elon
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +11.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIDomain .SI is exploding. & you are not bullish yet
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +29.8%
    Max return
    +70.9%
    Drawdown
    -2.6%
    Lead time
    54m
  • $SINext leg up would be INSANE. Position accordingly
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +20.3%
    Max return
    +53.5%
    Drawdown
    -13.7%
    Lead time
    8.0h

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.