User quant profile

@NickVeds

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 1d ago6 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100

Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses

N = 6 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate

95% CI 0–66% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time

—

N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate

50%

N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call

-6.1%

N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency

—

N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility

σ 0.6%

N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size

resolved · 4 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal

Median: +13.5%; CI +13.0% … +13.9%
Trimmed mean: +13.5%; 10% each side
Mean: +13.5%; σ 0.6%
Range: +13.0% … +13.9%

p5: +13.1%
p10: +13.1%
p25: +13.2%
p50: +13.5%
p75: +13.7%
p90: +13.8%
p95: +13.9%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

Token	Posted	Status	24h	Max return	Drawdown	Lead time
$CATEKnow what yall hold	1d ago	Pending	-1.4%	—	—	—
$CATECate loves weekends	2d ago	Pending	-7.5%	—	—	—
$CATEI saw diddy bought cate	3d ago	Pending	+10.6%	—	—	—
$CATEHolders keep growing just wait	3d ago	Pending	+7.9%	—	—	—
$CATEWagmi	3d ago	Resolved	+13.0%	+18.4%	-4.3%	no +25% move
$CATECan’t kill cate	3d ago	Resolved	+13.9%	+13.9%	-7.9%	no +25% move

$CATEKnow what yall hold
Posted
1d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-1.4%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATECate loves weekends
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-7.5%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEI saw diddy bought cate
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+10.6%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEHolders keep growing just wait
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+7.9%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEWagmi
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+13.0%
Max return
+18.4%
Drawdown
-4.3%
Lead time
no +25% move
$CATECan’t kill cate
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+13.9%
Max return
+13.9%
Drawdown
-7.9%
Lead time
no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.