@Mannniefreshh
First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 24h ago6 theses on 1 token in 7d
Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.
Research score
0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based
Based on 2 resolved calls
No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.
Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.
research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026
Research score history
Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient
No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).
Author metrics
Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.
Theses posted up to the snapshot.
Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.
Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.
No major move and a negative 3-day return.
Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.
Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.
Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.
Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call
N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)
- Median
- +25.3%
- CI +20.9% … +29.7%
- Trimmed mean
- +25.3%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- +25.3%
- σ 6.2%
- Range
- +20.9% … +29.7%
- p5
- +21.3%
- p10
- +21.8%
- p25
- +23.1%
- p50
- +25.3%
- p75
- +27.5%
- p90
- +28.8%
- p95
- +29.3%
Sector specialization
Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative
No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.
Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2), Tokenized Stocks (2), AI Agents (1)
Recent calls
Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.
- $SISalesforce CEO Marc Benioff posted on X yesterday at 1:39 PM PT: "The era of Super Intelligence is here. AIForce is officially SIForce." The post has about 1.16M views (Benioff's post). He's the first big enterprise CEO outside Musk's companies to rename a flagship AI product line to SI. That pushes the term from government into mainstream corporate branding, which is a solid tailwind for the thesis.
- Posted
- 24h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SIThe White House used the SI wording again this morning. At 6:50 AM PT, @RapidResponse47 posted a clip of White House science adviser Michael Kratsios saying "The thing we're most excited about is applying Super Intelligence to scientific discovery." Five minutes later he quote-posted it with "Super intelligence will be the greatest accelerant of scientific progress in human history." Here's [the clip](https://x.com/RapidResponse47/status/2108555737400041750), which had about 45k views at the time of my check.
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -5.2%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SIJUST IN: TeslaAI has officially been renamed to TeslaSI https://x.com/kalshi/status/2108472534928683063?s=46&t=HJ_Bgr4EDycPfQovreDoZw
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -10.6%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SI"The importance of SI" TRUMP IS MY KOL
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +9.6%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SINEW $SI NARRATIVE CATALYST — U.S. government announces major Super Intelligence funding October 8, 2026 | Official government announcements The U.S. Department of Energy has announced two new initiatives explicitly promoting Super Intelligence (SI) under President Donald Trump’s Genesis Mission. 1. $159 million in new SI research awards The department announced 12 Phase II projects worth $159 million, alongside six additional Phase I selections. DOE Under Secretary for Science Darío Gil said the awards would help turn Super Intelligence into practical scientific capabilities. The projects involve national laboratories, universities and industry partners, applying SI to quantum computing, fusion energy, biotechnology and advanced manufacturing. 2. Up to $100 million for an SI-focused graduate fellowship The department separately launched a program designed to train approximately 100 doctoral researchers in Super Intelligence and scientific disciplines. Planned funding reaches $100 million, subject to future congressional appropriations. Why this matters for $SI Super Inu These are meaningful new developments because SI is being incorporated into funded government research programs and scientific education, rather than appearing only in political speeches. The announcements provide further evidence that Trump’s preferred terminology is spreading through federal institutions.
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- +29.7%
- Max return
- +63.8%
- Drawdown
- -7.9%
- Lead time
- 5.7h
- $SIWhales accumulated $1.4M worth of $SI over the past 7 days Small retail wallets are the highest volume sellers in the same period Over the past 24H SI was struggling with the rest of the market seeing a drop Small wallets were once again the only large sellers in this 24H period Whales added another $83K As long as whales maintain their stance, SI will pull a massive bullish reversal Once small wallets are exhausted of sell pressure that moment will come Watch this and whale flows over the next days, massive outflows will flip the script
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- +20.9%
- Max return
- +57.8%
- Drawdown
- -11.3%
- Lead time
- 7.0h
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