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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 2h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 2h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@Knight_Runner

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 1d ago6 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
6
N = 6 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
0%
95% CI 0–66% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
—
N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
50%
N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-6.0%
N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 1.5%
N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
2
resolved · 4 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+11.5%
CI +10.4% … +12.6%
Trimmed mean
+11.5%
10% each side
Mean
+11.5%
σ 1.5%
Range
+10.4% … +12.6%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram2 samples in 3 bins from +10.4% to +12.6%.median+10.4%+12.6%+11%+11.5%+12%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +11.5%, interquartile range +10.9% to +12.0%, whiskers +10.4% to +12.6%, 0 outliers (min +10.4%, max +12.6%).+10.4%+12.6%+11.5%
p5
+10.5%
p10
+10.6%
p25
+10.9%
p50
+11.5%
p75
+12.0%
p90
+12.3%
p95
+12.4%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $CATECAT(E)_kinda_weekend!.!.!.! 💛🐈💛
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -0.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATE141k CAT(E) HOLDERS!.?!.?!!!!! Hell YeS!!!! LFG… CAT(E)_flips_DOG(E) PERIOD…. 💛🐈💛
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -9.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATECAT(E)_flips_DOG(E). 💛🐈💛
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -2.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATE💎👋’s only count when the chart is RED.!.!.! You don’t get the HIGH’s if you can’t handle the lows. I’m not fucking leaving.!.!.!
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +7.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATENo one ever said the road to multi-billions wouldn't get a little bloody.... Ride the wave and chill.. Been here before. CAT(E)_flips_DOG(E)
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +12.6%
    Max return
    +18.6%
    Drawdown
    -4.1%
    Lead time
    no +25% move
  • $CATE🤔
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +10.4%
    Max return
    +14.0%
    Drawdown
    -7.8%
    Lead time
    no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.