@King_Leonidas
First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 1d ago5 theses on 1 token in 7d
Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.
Research score
0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based
Based on 1 resolved call
No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~13 Oct.
Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.
research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026
Research score history
Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient
No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~13 Oct).
Author metrics
Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.
Theses posted up to the snapshot.
Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.
Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.
No major move and a negative 3-day return.
Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.
Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.
Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.
Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call
N = 1 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 21–100%)
- Median
- +18.7%
- Trimmed mean
- +18.7%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- +18.7%
- Range
- +18.7% … +18.7%
- p5
- +18.7%
- p10
- +18.7%
- p25
- +18.7%
- p50
- +18.7%
- p75
- +18.7%
- p90
- +18.7%
- p95
- +18.7%
Sector specialization
Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative
No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.
Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (1)
Recent calls
Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.
- $SIThe market is a devise for transferring money from the inpatient to the patient. - Warren Buffett
- Posted
- 1d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +8.3%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SII think we all learned a lesson over the last few days. Now, let's win.
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -4.5%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SIBuy the dip!!
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +12.8%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SIToday more than ever I’m extremely hopeful. TradFi is coming for LONG. Not just institutions, but actual retail investors and individuals. And that would be the real 0-to-1 moment for the space and LONG. The purpose of LONG is to build unique distribution that can elevate crypto assets into “real” assets. Assets that aren’t just a beta of ETH, BTC, or SOL, with their fate decided solely by crypto cycles. We’re doing this by compounding more tokenized stock value into paired markets through liquidity, LP mechs, and unique releases, while expanding distribution to bring in net-new marginal holders. 1. We have a great release ready to go. Will drop more details tmr. This should provide a net new way for pairs on LONG to expand into RWA activity. I’d like to push even harder on shipping speed. 2. Distribution! This is about alignment with stakeholders + retail holders at public companies, actually onboarding them into our markets and retaining them. the upcoming app release is only meant for this angle (and not just having a nicer UI or narrative) your only job is to hold with conviction great pairs that have deep stock liq and unique positioning/alignment that can be attractive. We will take care of the rest 🫡 LONG. -Nathan Benish
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +36.2%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $SIMind games.
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- +18.7%
- Max return
- +69.0%
- Drawdown
- -8.7%
- Lead time
- 7.3h
Cohorts
Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.
Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.