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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 1h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@ISellTheBottom

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 2h ago18 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
18
N = 18 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
0%
95% CI 0–66% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
—
N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-4.1%
N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 2.0%
N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
2
resolved · 16 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+14.6%
CI +13.2% … +16.0%
Trimmed mean
+14.6%
10% each side
Mean
+14.6%
σ 2.0%
Range
+13.2% … +16.0%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram2 samples in 3 bins from +13.2% to +16.0%.median+13.2%+16.0%+14%+15%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +14.6%, interquartile range +13.9% to +15.3%, whiskers +13.2% to +16.0%, 0 outliers (min +13.2%, max +16.0%).+13.2%+16.0%+14.6%
p5
+13.3%
p10
+13.5%
p25
+13.9%
p50
+14.6%
p75
+15.3%
p90
+15.7%
p95
+15.9%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $CATEMAKE MEMES GREAT AGAIN BRING THE VOLUME BACK !!
    Posted
    2h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEThe market can’t even seem to get a good runner over 10m and here we are are chillin at 50m.. don’t underestimate $CATE when the liquidity inevitably returns!
    Posted
    12h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEJust like every other time, this will start to move crazy out of nowhere.. be ready !
    Posted
    14h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEI think we need majors to start ripping again, the hype for ALL meme coins is super low rn
    Posted
    18h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEWhat we thinking over 200m this next run???
    Posted
    22h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATELow volume on pretty much all memes, cooling off before the next run up IMO
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -4.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEThere would be too many crypto millionaires if it was that easy .. 🤷🏼‍♂️
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -2.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEU wanna cry? Look at basecat, look at zcat… we are the fucking cat of the cycle!
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -0.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEImagine still complaining/ selling here 🤣
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -7.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEI feel like people are trying way too hard with all these other dumbass memes… $CATE is the only way 🐈💛🚀
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -2.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATE#1 most held LETS FUCKIN GET IT
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -7.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEI guess rasmr sold the bottom instead of me this time 🤣🤣
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -8.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATE30’s ???
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +11.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEGo ahead Matt jeet that last 20k
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +10.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEWhat we thinking guys bottomed out or it gets worse before it get better ??
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +4.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEWhat a fuckin blood bath everywhere 🤣
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +19.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEEverything is getting slaughtered rn
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +13.2%
    Max return
    +18.8%
    Drawdown
    -3.9%
    Lead time
    no +25% move
  • $CATECan’t take my eyes off this for 2 seconds wtf y’all doing ??
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +16.0%
    Max return
    +18.5%
    Drawdown
    -4.2%
    Lead time
    no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

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