User quant profile

@ConcreteLover

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 21h ago19 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 58s agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100

Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 4 resolved calls

No score is shown: 4 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 4 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses

N = 19 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate

95% CI 0–49% · N = 4

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time

—

N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate

50%

N = 4

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call

-6.5%

N = 4

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency

—

N = 4

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility

σ 2.4%

N = 4

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size

resolved · 15 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 4 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 51–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal

Median: +12.9%; CI +9.0% … +14.8%
Trimmed mean: +12.4%; 10% each side
Mean: +12.4%; σ 2.4%
Range: +9.0% … +14.8%

p5: +9.6%
p10: +10.1%
p25: +11.7%
p50: +12.9%
p75: +13.6%
p90: +14.4%
p95: +14.6%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (4)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

Token	Posted	Status	24h	Max return	Drawdown	Lead time
$CATEWhat yall mean by “sell”?	21h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$CATEIf holding was easy everyone would do it	23h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$CATEGcate	1d ago	Pending	-0.3%	—	—	—
$CATECmon cate	2d ago	Pending	-0.6%	—	—	—
$CATECATECOIN	2d ago	Pending	-2.2%	—	—	—
$CATEGot a flat tire on thr way back from work, pls cate I need something to make my day better	2d ago	Pending	-2.5%	—	—	—
$CATEI see cate more than my own family	2d ago	Pending	-7.7%	—	—	—
$CATE2-3 months CATECOIN and forget	2d ago	Pending	-5.7%	—	—	—
$CATEWe back?	2d ago	Pending	-2.5%	—	—	—
$CATECan’t let barbar take all the coins	3d ago	Pending	+6.6%	—	—	—
$CATEHow’s my cate doing?	3d ago	Pending	+9.8%	—	—	—
$CATEGive me more coins	3d ago	Pending	+9.0%	—	—	—
$CATEMay the dih be with us	3d ago	Pending	+4.9%	—	—	—
$CATEMeow	3d ago	Pending	+7.0%	—	—	—
$CATE2:30pm est buy	3d ago	Pending	+13.7%	—	—	—
$CATEI wanna be in one of those TikTok fomo edits	3d ago	Resolved	+14.8%	+17.2%	-5.3%	no +25% move
$CATEHard times create hard men	3d ago	Resolved	+12.6%	+18.6%	-4.1%	no +25% move
$CATEnooooo gimme my entry back	3d ago	Resolved	+13.2%	+14.2%	-7.7%	no +25% move
$CATECommunity coin don’t care about btc	3d ago	Resolved	+9.0%	+14.0%	-7.8%	no +25% move

$CATEWhat yall mean by “sell”?
Posted
21h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEIf holding was easy everyone would do it
Posted
23h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEGcate
Posted
1d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-0.3%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATECmon cate
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-0.6%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATECATECOIN
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-2.2%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEGot a flat tire on thr way back from work, pls cate I need something to make my day better
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-2.5%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEI see cate more than my own family
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-7.7%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATE2-3 months CATECOIN and forget
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-5.7%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEWe back?
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-2.5%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATECan’t let barbar take all the coins
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+6.6%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEHow’s my cate doing?
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+9.8%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEGive me more coins
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+9.0%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEMay the dih be with us
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+4.9%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEMeow
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+7.0%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATE2:30pm est buy
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+13.7%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEI wanna be in one of those TikTok fomo edits
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+14.8%
Max return
+17.2%
Drawdown
-5.3%
Lead time
no +25% move
$CATEHard times create hard men
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+12.6%
Max return
+18.6%
Drawdown
-4.1%
Lead time
no +25% move
$CATEnooooo gimme my entry back
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+13.2%
Max return
+14.2%
Drawdown
-7.7%
Lead time
no +25% move
$CATECommunity coin don’t care about btc
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+9.0%
Max return
+14.0%
Drawdown
-7.8%
Lead time
no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.