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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 1h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@BredNBuddah

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 2d ago5 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 1 resolved call

No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
5
N = 5 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
100%
95% CI 21–100% · N = 1

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
22.6h
N = 1 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 1

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-12.9%
N = 1

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 1

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
—
N = 1

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
1
resolved · 4 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 1 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 21–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+42.0%
Trimmed mean
+42.0%
10% each side
Mean
+42.0%
Range
+42.0% … +42.0%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram1 samples in 1 bins from +42.0% to +42.0%.median+42.0%+42.0%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +42.0%, interquartile range +42.0% to +42.0%, whiskers +42.0% to +42.0%, 0 outliers (min +42.0%, max +42.0%).+42.0%+42.0%
p5
+42.0%
p10
+42.0%
p25
+42.0%
p50
+42.0%
p75
+42.0%
p90
+42.0%
p95
+42.0%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: AI Agents (1)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $PRIORSPAYS TO BE PATIENT FRIENDS 🌳🍃🌱🌳🍃🌱 https://x.com/brednbuddah/status/2108659011260174409?s=46
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -10.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $PRIORSThis chart is a thing of beauty. Watch for the pop and retest of the trend line before we gigasend to new all time highs https://x.com/brednbuddah/status/2108577417476612585?s=46
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +64.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $PRIORSYou have less than 24 hours ( I think maybe less than 1 hour) left to buy $PRIORS at these levels before we sky rocket into the stratosphere. https://x.com/brednbuddah/status/2108561007027318787?s=46
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +52.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $PRIORSThe PRIORS God candle is lurking like Jaws in in the deep water. Just when you least suspect it this thing is going to run 10 - 20x and FAST.
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +35.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $PRIORSWhole market is dumping on black swan BTC news. As always, once the fear subsides, everything will have a violent v shape recovery. Bid these levels if you can afford to do so
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +42.0%
    Max return
    +131%
    Drawdown
    -12.9%
    Lead time
    22.6h

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

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